The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Hull City | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 7.7 | 10.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.3 | −0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| xGA per match | 1.75 | 1.58 |
| Scored | 9 | 8 |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
By quality of play Everton is ahead: 10.8 xPTS against 7.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Hull City: +2.3, Everton: −0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Hull City — 4.8, Everton — 7.6.