The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Leeds United | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 7 | 8 |
| Points | 11 | 11 |
| xPTS | 10.9 | 7.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.1 | +3.5 |
| xG per match | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| xGA per match | 1.35 | 1.89 |
| Scored | 9 | 12 |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 |
By quality of play Leeds United is ahead: 10.9 xPTS against 7.5. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Leeds United: +0.1, Newcastle United: +3.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Leeds United — 6.1, Newcastle United — 4.3.