The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Aston Villa | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 8 | 10 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.0 | −3.0 |
| xG per match | 1.27 | 1.79 |
| xGA per match | 1.87 | 1.52 |
| Scored | 7 | 10 |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
By quality of play Manchester United is ahead: 10.0 xPTS against 8.0. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Aston Villa: +0.0, Manchester United: −3.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Aston Villa — 5.4, Manchester United — 7.6.