The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bournemouth | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 3 | 3 |
| xPTS | 7.8 | 4.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.8 | −1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.72 |
| Scored | 6 | 1 |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
By quality of play Bournemouth is ahead: 7.8 xPTS against 4.5. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Bournemouth: −4.8, Coventry City: −1.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bournemouth — 7.3, Coventry City — 5.5.