The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Coventry City | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 3 | 2 |
| xPTS | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.6 | −3.1 |
| xG per match | 1 | 1.59 |
| xGA per match | 1.72 | 2.09 |
| Scored | 1 | 5 |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.5 xPTS against 5.1. The gap between points and play — Coventry City: −1.6, Fulham: −3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Coventry City — 5.5, Fulham — 7.8.