The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Crystal Palace | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 6.2 | 12.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.8 | −6.3 |
| xG per match | 1.49 | 2.02 |
| xGA per match | 2.29 | 1.21 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 17 | 13 |
By quality of play Bournemouth is ahead: 12.3 xPTS against 6.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Crystal Palace: +0.8, Bournemouth: −6.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Crystal Palace — 6.6, Bournemouth — 9.1.