The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Crystal Palace | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 5.4 | 8.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.4 | −4.5 |
| xG per match | 1.52 | 1.82 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 6 | 6 |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
By quality of play Sunderland is ahead: 8.4 xPTS against 5.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Crystal Palace: −1.4, Sunderland: −4.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Crystal Palace — 5.5, Sunderland — 8.1.