The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Ipswich Town | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 5.7 | 8.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | −3.4 |
| xG per match | 1.42 | 2.12 |
| xGA per match | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Scored | 7 | 8 |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
By quality of play Manchester United is ahead: 8.3 xPTS against 5.7. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Ipswich Town: +0.3, Manchester United: −3.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Ipswich Town — 4.9, Manchester United — 10.0.