The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Manchester City | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 3 |
| Points | 15 | 10 |
| xPTS | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.4 | +0.8 |
| xG per match | 2.21 | 2.58 |
| xGA per match | 1.44 | 1.73 |
| Scored | 13 | 16 |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 9.6 xPTS against 9.2. The gap between points and play — Manchester City: +5.4, Brighton: +0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Manchester City — 8.9, Brighton — 8.1.