The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Manchester United | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 10 | 6.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.0 | +0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| xGA per match | 1.52 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 10 | 9 |
| Conceded | 10 | 17 |
By quality of play Manchester United is ahead: 10.0 xPTS against 6.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Manchester United: −3.0, Crystal Palace: +0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Manchester United — 7.6, Crystal Palace — 6.6.