The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Sunderland | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 8.4 | 9.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.5 | −6.3 |
| xG per match | 1.82 | 1.63 |
| xGA per match | 1.75 | 1.39 |
| Scored | 6 | 7 |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 |
By quality of play they are level: 8.4 xPTS against 9.3. The gap between points and play — Sunderland: −4.5, Bournemouth: −6.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Sunderland — 8.1, Bournemouth — 7.5.