The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rennes | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.6 | +0.8 |
| xG per match | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| xGA per match | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| Scored | 10 | 11 |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 9.4 xPTS against 10.2. The gap between points and play — Rennes: +3.6, Lyon: +0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rennes — 7.5, Lyon — 7.8.