The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Nice | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.5 | +1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| xGA per match | 1.71 | 1.93 |
| Scored | 5 | 12 |
| Conceded | 7 | 15 |
By quality of play they are level: 6.5 xPTS against 5.7. The gap between points and play — Nice: +1.5, Strasbourg: +1.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Nice — 3.8, Strasbourg — 4.4.