The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Troyes | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 4 | 2 |
| xPTS | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.2 | −3.3 |
| xG per match | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| xGA per match | 1.96 | 1.93 |
| Scored | 4 | 4 |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
By quality of play they are level: 5.2 xPTS against 5.3. The gap between points and play — Troyes: −1.2, Le Havre: −3.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Troyes — 4.7, Le Havre — 5.7.