The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Paris Saint-Germain | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 11 | 8 |
| xPTS | 12.2 | 12.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.2 | −4.6 |
| xG per match | 2.53 | 2.48 |
| xGA per match | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 9 | 12 |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
By quality of play they are level: 12.2 xPTS against 12.6. The gap between points and play — Paris Saint-Germain: −1.2, Brest: −4.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Paris Saint-Germain — 11.2, Brest — 10.8.