The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akron Tolyatti | Rodina Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 8 | 5 |
| xPTS | 11.2 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.2 | −0.1 |
| xG per match | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| xGA per match | 1.24 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 11 | 10 |
| Conceded | 19 | 22 |
By quality of play Akron Tolyatti is ahead: 11.2 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Akron Tolyatti: −3.2, Rodina Moscow: −0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akron Tolyatti — 4.8, Rodina Moscow — 2.6.