The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Dynamo Moscow | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 19 | 12 |
| xPTS | 15.5 | 14.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.5 | −2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| xGA per match | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Scored | 14 | 15 |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 |
By quality of play Dynamo Moscow is ahead: 15.5 xPTS against 14.2. In the table the gap is 7 points. The gap between points and play — Dynamo Moscow: +3.5, Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Dynamo Moscow — 9.1, Dynamo Makhachkala — 6.3.