The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Krasnodar | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 21 | 12 |
| xPTS | 14.5 | 14.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.5 | −2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| xGA per match | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Scored | 16 | 15 |
| Conceded | 10 | 20 |
By quality of play they are level: 14.5 xPTS against 14.2. The gap between points and play — Krasnodar: +6.5, Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Krasnodar — 7.3, Dynamo Makhachkala — 6.3.