The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akhmat Grozny | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 10 | 8 |
| xPTS | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.5 | −3.2 |
| xG per match | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| xGA per match | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Scored | 13 | 11 |
| Conceded | 13 | 19 |
By quality of play they are level: 11.5 xPTS against 11.2. The gap between points and play — Akhmat Grozny: −1.5, Akron Tolyatti: −3.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akhmat Grozny — 6.1, Akron Tolyatti — 4.8.