The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.5 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| xGA per match | 1.71 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 13 | 13 |
| Conceded | 11 | 13 |
By quality of play Akhmat Grozny is ahead: 11.5 xPTS against 10.5. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.5, Akhmat Grozny: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lokomotiv Moscow — 6.7, Akhmat Grozny — 6.1.