The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rubin Kazan | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 12 | 11 |
| xPTS | 11.8 | 12.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | −1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| xGA per match | 1.39 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 12 | 16 |
| Conceded | 16 | 14 |
By quality of play they are level: 11.8 xPTS against 12.3. The gap between points and play — Rubin Kazan: +0.3, Lokomotiv Moscow: −1.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rubin Kazan — 5.9, Lokomotiv Moscow — 7.0.