The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Spartak Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 5 |
| Points | 23 | 22 |
| xPTS | 21.4 | 15.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.6 | +6.5 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 1.25 |
| xGA per match | 0.8 | 1.14 |
| Scored | 21 | 19 |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 21.4 xPTS against 15.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Spartak Moscow: +1.6, Krasnodar: +6.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Spartak Moscow — 10.1, Krasnodar — 7.2.