The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Zenit | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 21 | 19 |
| xPTS | 16.9 | 15.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.1 | +3.1 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.65 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.19 |
| Scored | 22 | 15 |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
By quality of play they are level: 16.9 xPTS against 15.9. The gap between points and play — Zenit: +4.1, CSKA Moscow: +3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Zenit — 9.0, CSKA Moscow — 7.5.