The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Zenit | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 6 |
| Points | 21 | 12 |
| xPTS | 16.9 | 14.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.1 | −2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.38 |
| Scored | 22 | 15 |
| Conceded | 11 | 20 |
By quality of play Zenit is ahead: 16.9 xPTS against 14.2. In the table the gap is 9 points. The gap between points and play — Zenit: +4.1, Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Zenit — 9.0, Dynamo Makhachkala — 6.3.