The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lazio | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 10 |
| xPTS | 8 | 11.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.0 | −1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.81 | 2.07 |
| xGA per match | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
By quality of play Napoli is ahead: 11.7 xPTS against 8.0. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Lazio: +5.0, Napoli: −1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lazio — 7.8, Napoli — 7.0.