The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Parma | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 3.5 | 7.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.5 | −3.2 |
| xG per match | 0.78 | 1.41 |
| xGA per match | 2.12 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 4 | 7 |
| Conceded | 10 | 14 |
By quality of play Fiorentina is ahead: 7.2 xPTS against 3.5. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Parma: +0.5, Fiorentina: −3.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Parma — 4.3, Fiorentina — 4.6.