The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Torino | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 7.6 | 2.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.6 | +3.1 |
| xG per match | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| xGA per match | 1.38 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 7 | 6 |
| Conceded | 9 | 12 |
By quality of play Torino is ahead: 7.6 xPTS against 2.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Torino: −0.6, Lecce: +3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Torino — 8.1, Lecce — 3.6.