The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Udinese | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 5 | 5 |
| xPTS | 7.2 | 11 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.2 | −6.0 |
| xG per match | 1.18 | 1.49 |
| xGA per match | 2.41 | 1.89 |
| Scored | 9 | 11 |
| Conceded | 18 | 21 |
By quality of play Fiorentina is ahead: 11.0 xPTS against 7.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Udinese: −2.2, Fiorentina: −6.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Udinese — 3.0, Fiorentina — 6.4.