Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt: match prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach

VS

Eintracht Frankfurt

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

No clear favourite: 44% home, 19% draw, 36% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.99 and 2.12 expected goals a match. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 5.3 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Borussia Mönchengladbach	18	9	4	9.3	−5.3	1.75	2.36
Eintracht Frankfurt	10	9	12	11.1	+0.9	1.88	2.23

Recent matches

Hamburger SV — Borussia M.Gladbach 3:1Borussia M.Gladbach — Paderborn 0:0VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:3Borussia M.Gladbach — Hoffenheim 1:2FC Cologne — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:1

Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV 3:1Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Cologne 1:0RasenBallsport Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions