Schalke 04 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: match prediction

Schalke 04

VS

Borussia Mönchengladbach

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

No clear favourite: 36% home, 22% draw, 43% away. Attack against defence: Borussia Mönchengladbach should create more, 2.01 expected goals a match against 1.78. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 5.3 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Schalke 04	17	9	6	7.6	−1.6	1.21	2.27
Borussia Mönchengladbach	18	9	4	9.3	−5.3	1.75	2.36

Recent matches

Hoffenheim — Schalke 04 2:1Schalke 04 — RasenBallsport Leipzig 0:2FC Cologne — Schalke 04 0:0Schalke 04 — Mainz 05 0:1Freiburg — Schalke 04 2:1

Hamburger SV — Borussia M.Gladbach 3:1Borussia M.Gladbach — Paderborn 0:0VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:3Borussia M.Gladbach — Hoffenheim 1:2FC Cologne — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:1

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions