Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: match prediction

Werder Bremen

VS

Borussia Mönchengladbach

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

Werder Bremen are favourites: 59% to win against 21%. Attack against defence: Werder Bremen should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.66. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 5.3 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Werder Bremen	6	9	15	12.4	+2.6	1.59	1.56
Borussia Mönchengladbach	18	9	4	9.3	−5.3	1.75	2.36

Recent matches

VfB Stuttgart — Werder Bremen 1:0Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim 2:0Mainz 05 — Werder Bremen 2:3Werder Bremen — Paderborn 2:2Borussia Dortmund — Werder Bremen 2:2

Hamburger SV — Borussia M.Gladbach 3:1Borussia M.Gladbach — Paderborn 0:0VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:3Borussia M.Gladbach — Hoffenheim 1:2FC Cologne — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:1

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions