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Brighton vs Everton: match prediction

Brighton
VS
Everton
EPL · Round 15 · 12 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win59%Brighton
Draw19%
Away win22%Everton
Expected points, home1.96

What to expect

Brighton are favourites: 59% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: Brighton should create more, 1.87 expected goals a match against 1.59. Read the table with care: Brighton have taken 3.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Brighton2102218.2+3.82.191.48
Everton6101614.6+1.41.701.55

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions