The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Everton are favourites: 56% to win against 20%. Attack against defence: Everton should create more, 1.54 expected goals a match against 1.30. Coventry City are 2.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10.8 | −0.8 | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Coventry City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 8.1 | −2.1 | 1.02 | 1.54 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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