Coventry City vs Aston Villa: match prediction
Coventry CityVS
Aston VillaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win44%Coventry City
Draw24%
Away win32%Aston Villa
Expected points, home1.56
What to expect
A slight edge to Coventry City: 44% against 32%. Attack against defence: level, 1.61 and 1.54 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Aston Villa have taken 2.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 17 | 10 | 9 | 9.8 | −0.8 | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| Aston Villa | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10.4 | +2.5 | 1.47 | 2.17 |
Recent matches
Everton — Coventry 3:1Coventry — 
Sunderland 3:1Coventry — 
Fulham 0:1
Tottenham — Coventry 3:1Coventry — 
Newcastle United 4:1
Manchester United — Aston Villa 4:4Aston Villa — Fulham 1:1Aston Villa — 
Manchester City 2:1Newcastle United — Aston Villa 0:1Aston Villa — 
Brentford 2:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions