The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Liverpool: 46% against 31%. Attack against defence: Liverpool should create more, 1.82 expected goals a match against 1.46.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5.4 | −1.4 | 1.52 | 2.00 |
| Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 9 | 7.9 | +1.1 | 1.65 | 1.39 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.