Everton
LiverpoolThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Everton: 45% against 31%. Attack against defence: level, 1.54 and 1.56 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Liverpool have taken 3.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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