Pitch Radar

Everton vs Liverpool: match prediction

Everton
VS
Liverpool
EPL · Round 12 · 29 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win45%Everton
Draw24%
Away win31%Liverpool
Expected points, home1.58

What to expect

A slight edge to Everton: 45% against 31%. Attack against defence: level, 1.54 and 1.56 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Liverpool have taken 3.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Everton6101614.6+1.41.701.55
Liverpool4101814.9+3.11.571.39

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions