Pitch Radar

Fulham vs Brentford: match prediction

Fulham
VS
Brentford
EPL · Round 15 · 12 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win48%Fulham
Draw23%
Away win29%Brentford
Expected points, home1.66

What to expect

A slight edge to Fulham: 48% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.60 and 1.56 expected goals a match. Fulham are 3.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Fulham15101013.9−3.91.601.54
Brentford8101413.1+0.91.591.60

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions