Nottingham Forest vs Brighton: match prediction
Nottingham ForestVS
BrightonThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win48%Nottingham Forest
Draw23%
Away win29%Brighton
Expected points, home1.67
What to expect
A slight edge to Nottingham Forest: 48% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.62 and 1.67 expected goals a match. Nottingham Forest are 8.6 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 16 | 10 | 9 | 17.6 | −8.6 | 1.77 | 1.14 |
| Brighton | 2 | 10 | 22 | 18.2 | +3.8 | 2.19 | 1.48 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest — 
Manchester City 3:1
Brentford — Nottingham Forest 2:0
Ipswich — Nottingham Forest 1:1Nottingham Forest — 
Arsenal 0:1
Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest 3:1Brighton — Brentford 2:0Manchester City — Brighton 0:1
Liverpool — Brighton 2:0Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0
Sunderland — Brighton 0:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions