Real Madrid vs Osasuna: match prediction
Real MadridVS
OsasunaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win83%Real Madrid
Draw11%
Away win6%Osasuna
Expected points, home2.61
What to expect
Real Madrid are favourites: 83% to win against 6%. Attack against defence: Real Madrid should create more, 2.13 expected goals a match against 1.16. Osasuna are 2.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2 | 12 | 30 | 27.7 | +2.3 | 2.55 | 1.01 |
| Osasuna | 16 | 12 | 12 | 14.8 | −2.8 | 1.30 | 1.71 |
Recent matches
Valencia — Real Madrid 0:3
Racing Santander — Real Madrid 0:3
Barcelona — Real Madrid 1:2Real Madrid — 
Sevilla 4:1Real Madrid — 
Villarreal 1:0Osasuna — 
Athletic Club 1:1
Deportivo La Coruna — Osasuna 2:1Sevilla — Osasuna 2:0Osasuna — Racing Santander 2:0
Real Betis — Osasuna 5:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions