Lille vs Strasbourg: match prediction
LilleVS
StrasbourgThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win51%Lille
Draw25%
Away win25%Strasbourg
Expected points, home1.77
What to expect
A slight edge to Lille: 51% against 25%. Attack against defence: Lille should create more, 1.52 expected goals a match against 1.37. Read the table with care: Lille have taken 7.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 2 | 10 | 21 | 13.8 | +7.3 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
| Strasbourg | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10.3 | −0.3 | 1.31 | 1.66 |
Recent matches
Lens 1:0
Monaco — 
Brest 1:1
Le Havre 1:0
Toulouse — Strasbourg 3:1Strasbourg — 
Auxerre 5:1
Rennes — Strasbourg 3:0Strasbourg — 
Paris Saint Germain 1:3
Nice — Strasbourg 2:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions