The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Lorient: 46% against 24%. Attack against defence: Lorient should create more, 1.52 expected goals a match against 1.06.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 16 | 8 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 | 1.14 | 1.91 |
| Lorient | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11.9 | +0.1 | 1.14 | 0.99 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions