Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krylia Sovetov: match prediction

RPL · Round 17 · 5 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win32%Dynamo Makhachkala

Draw25%

Away win42%Krylia Sovetov

Expected points, home1.22

What to expect

A slight edge to Krylia Sovetov: 42% against 32%. Attack against defence: Krylia Sovetov should create more, 1.44 expected goals a match against 1.20. Krylia Sovetov are 4.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Dynamo Makhachkala	10	12	13	16.3	−3.3	1.34	1.48
Krylia Sovetov	8	12	15	19.7	−4.7	1.41	1.05

Head to head

They have already met this season: Krylia Sovetov 1:4 Dynamo Makhachkala (2026-08-16).

Recent matches

Zenit — Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 Dynamo Makhachkala — Akron Tolyatti 1:1 Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0 Dynamo Makhachkala — CSKA Moscow 1:3 Akhmat Grozny — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:2

Rubin Kazan — Krylia Sovetov 0:2 Krylia Sovetov — Fakel Voronezh 1:2 Krylia Sovetov — Spartak Moscow 1:1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylia Sovetov 1:1 Krylia Sovetov — Rodina Moscow 2:1

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions