Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow: match prediction
KrasnodarVS
Spartak MoscowThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win24%Krasnodar
Draw25%
Away win50%Spartak Moscow
Expected points, home0.98
What to expect
A slight edge to Spartak Moscow: 50% against 24%. Attack against defence: Spartak Moscow should create more, 1.52 expected goals a match against 1.08. Read the table with care: Krasnodar have taken 6.6 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 4 | 14 | 26 | 19.4 | +6.6 | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Spartak Moscow | 3 | 14 | 29 | 27.5 | +1.5 | 1.86 | 0.89 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Spartak Moscow 1:2 FC Krasnodar (2026-08-09).
Recent matches
FC Krasnodar — 
CSKA Moscow 4:2
Rodina — FC Krasnodar 2:1FC Krasnodar — 
Baltika 1:1
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Krasnodar 3:3FC Krasnodar — 
Zenit St. Petersburg 2:3Spartak Moscow — 
Akron 2:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Spartak Moscow 0:4CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow 2:0Spartak Moscow — 
Rubin Kazan 4:0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Spartak Moscow 1:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions