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Rostov vs Krasnodar: match prediction

Rostov
VS
Krasnodar
RPL · Round 16 · 29 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win33%Rostov
Draw31%
Away win36%Krasnodar
Expected points, home1.31

What to expect

No clear favourite: 33% home, 31% draw, 36% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.04 and 1.19 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Krasnodar have taken 6.6 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Rostov6141916.8+2.20.901.11
Krasnodar4142619.4+6.61.271.19

Head to head

They have already met this season: FC Krasnodar 1:0 FC Rostov (2026-08-29).

Recent matches

Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov 2:2Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov 0:3FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0Baltika — FC Rostov 0:0FC Rostov — Akron 1:0
FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow 4:2Rodina — FC Krasnodar 2:1FC Krasnodar — Baltika 1:1Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Krasnodar 3:3FC Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg 2:3

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions