Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala: match prediction
Lokomotiv MoscowVS
Dynamo MakhachkalaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win36%Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw23%
Away win41%Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected points, home1.30
What to expect
No clear favourite: 36% home, 23% draw, 41% away. Attack against defence: Dynamo Makhachkala should create more, 1.56 expected goals a match against 1.31. Lokomotiv Moscow are 2.6 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13.6 | −2.6 | 1.21 | 1.86 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18.6 | −2.6 | 1.26 | 1.42 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Dynamo Makhachkala 2:1 Lokomotiv Moscow (2026-08-01).
Recent matches
Lokomotiv Moscow — 
Rubin Kazan 0:1Lokomotiv Moscow — 
Spartak Moscow 0:4
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0Lokomotiv Moscow — 
FC Krasnodar 3:3
Fakel — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5
Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala 0:1Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov 0:3
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0Dynamo Makhachkala — 
Akron 1:1
FC Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions