Pitch Radar

Atalanta vs Genoa: match prediction

Atalanta
VS
Genoa
Serie A · Round 15 · 13 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win48%Atalanta
Draw26%
Away win27%Genoa
Expected points, home1.69

What to expect

A slight edge to Atalanta: 48% against 27%. Attack against defence: level, 1.52 and 1.48 expected goals a match.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Atalanta12111412.8+1.21.671.92
Genoa13111312.3+0.71.051.37

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions