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Genoa vs Udinese: match prediction

Genoa
VS
Udinese
Serie A · Round 16 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win57%Genoa
Draw24%
Away win19%Udinese
Expected points, home1.94

What to expect

Genoa are favourites: 57% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Genoa should create more, 1.73 expected goals a match against 1.28. Udinese are 3.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Genoa13111312.3+0.71.051.37
Udinese201158.5−3.51.192.40

Recent matches

Genoa — AC Milan 1:2Lecce — Genoa 1:2Genoa — Juventus 2:0Genoa — Venezia 1:0Roma — Genoa 2:0
Venezia — Udinese 2:1Udinese — Roma 2:5Parma Calcio 1913 — Udinese 0:0Udinese — AC Milan 0:2Udinese — Lecce 0:3

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions