The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Lazio are favourites: 75% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Lazio should create more, 1.89 expected goals a match against 1.19. Read the table with care: Lazio have taken 5.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.