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Lecce vs Inter: match prediction

Lecce
VS
Inter
Serie A · Round 16 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win8%Lecce
Draw11%
Away win81%Inter
Expected points, home0.35

What to expect

Inter are favourites: 81% to win against 8%. Attack against defence: Inter should create more, 2.56 expected goals a match against 1.29. Read the table with care: Inter have taken 2.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lecce1411108.9+1.11.442.30
Inter2112826.0+2.02.821.14

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions