Napoli vs AC Milan: match prediction

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

Napoli are favourites: 56% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: Napoli should create more, 1.74 expected goals a match against 1.52. Napoli are 7.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions